Surprise performances and unexpected outcomes are anticipated each weekend in the wild world of college football. Even if everyone knows they are coming, guessing when and where they will happen is difficult.
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The USA TODAY Sports college football staff — Jace Evans, Paul Myerberg, Brent Schrotenboer, Erick Smith, Eddie Timanus, and Dan Wolken — weigh in with some bold predictions for Week 9 of the season:
Jace Evans
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Texas is just 11-7 since quarterback Sam Ehlinger declared the Longhorns “back” following an upset win over the Georgia Bulldogs in the Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Day 2019. In hindsight, that victory was clearly less a turning point for the program and more an example of the one thing Tom Herman’s teams have seemingly always been good at: pulling the upset as an underdog. As Texas heads to Stillwater on Saturday, No. 6 Oklahoma State stands as a slight favorite with everything to lose; The Cowboys currently have the inside track to a spot in the College Football Playoff as the Big 12’s only undefeated team. As we’ve seen him do in the past in similar circumstances, I think Herman gets his off-the-radar squad up for this contest against a top-10 team that is still a bit of a mystery. Texas will win, crippling the conference’s playoff hopes and creating more angst for perplexed fans who can’t figure out why the Longhorns seem to find more success as the underdog when they should be the bully on the block as one of the most resource-rich programs in college football.
Georgia quarterback Stetson Bennett struggles in the first half against Kentucky and forces Kirby Smart into a midgame change back to D’Wan Mathis, who began the season as the Bulldogs’ starter. That move sparks a win but creates more drama leading into a winner-take-all game against Florida to decide the East division.
Brent Schrotenboer
In light of what happened last week, how do we know that Indiana’s game at Rutgers isn’t the better B1G game this week than Ohio State at Penn State? The Hoosiers and Scarlet Knights clash after improbable wins last week, setting up a surprising scenario: Rutgers might be 2-0 after this game, part of a possible second rising under its old-new coach Greg Schiano. This is where one win in a row qualifies as momentum to help make it two for Rutgers, especially with Indiana ripe for a reality-check on the road.
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Erick Smith
Week 1 observations are often the worst observations about how a team will fare. Yes, Michigan State flopped in Mel Tucker’s debut against Rutgers, but seven turnovers contributed to the loss.
Going to Michigan will give them some inspiration and impetus to change things. The loss also could have the Wolverines overconfident after their impressive showing at Minnesota. That’s human nature, especially being favored by more than three touchdowns. This, however, is a rivalry and it is never easy, especially if the Spartans can get off to a fast start. This should stay close throughout and a shocking upset isn’t out of the question.
Eddie Timanus
Trying to predict the Big 12 is a fool’s errand, as this fool amply demonstrated last week. Nevertheless, we press on.
It’s still difficult to envision a team running the table in this league. Though my prognostication of Oklahoma State taking its first ‘L’ last week didn’t pan out, I continue to believe it will happen eventually. The Cowboys’ opponent this week is Texas, which is coming off arguably its most complete performance of the season in a win against Baylor.
So I’ll tell you what, Oklahoma State fans, I’ll give you a twofer. I’m going to go with the Longhorns to pull off the upset in Stillwater this week. But, if the Cowboys prove me wrong once again and come up with the victory, I’ll become a convert and take them to win the rest of the way. Yes, even Bedlam.
Dan Wolken
Oklahoma State has risen to the top of the Big 12’s board of College Football Playoff hopefuls because the record is a clean 4-0, which is more than anyone else in the league can say right now. But it also isn’t a 4-0 that would blow you away. The Cowboys have been pretty solid on defense, but the offense is still a work in progress with 16 points against Tulsa, 27 against West Virginia, and 24 against Iowa State. Sophomore quarterback Spencer Sanders, who came back last week off a high ankle sprain, still needs quality reps for things to really start clicking. So this might be a good week to catch Oklahoma State, and Texas got its act together a little bit last week on defense in a 27-16 win over Baylor. Tom Herman is usually good for one or two of these upsets a year, and it feels like the kind of spoiler game that would be fitting for a year of chaos in the Big 12.
Cincinnati wide receiver Tre Tucker (7) makes a reception during the first half against Southern Methodist at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.
Michigan running back Hassan Haskins celebrates after scoring a touchdown in the first half against Minnesota at TCF Bank Stadium.
Northwestern quarterback Peyton Ramsey runs for a touchdown during the first half against Maryland at Ryan Field. Sports
LSU’s Trey Palmer returns a kickoff 95 yards for a touchdown during the third quarter against South Carolina at Tiger Stadium.
Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr. dives to score a two point conversion and win the game in overtime during the game at Memorial Stadium. Indiana defeated Penn State 36 to 35.
Indiana’s “let them score” ploy worked as Penn State running back Devyn Ford scored to get the Hoosiers the ball back down eight late in the fourth quarter.
Alabama running back Najee Harris pushes back Tennessee defensive back Trevon Flowers in the second half at Neyland Stadium.
Boston College quarterback Daelen Menard (10) breaks up a pass to Georgia Tech receiver Malachi Carter (15) during the first half at Alumni Stadium.
Tulane safety Chase Kuerschen and UCF Knights quarterback Dillon Gabriel engage with each other in the second quarter.
Kentucky quarterback Terry Wilson (3) moves the ball against Missouri safety Tyree Gillespie (9) during the first half at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
Michigan State quarterback Rocky Lombardi gets tackled by Rutgers defensive back Lawrence Stevens during the third quarter at Spartan Stadium.
Ohio State quarterback Jack Miller III is forced out of bounds by Nebraska safety Marquel Dismuke during the fourth quarter at Ohio Stadium.
Army quarterback Tyhier Tyler carries the ball against the Mercer Bears during the first half at Michie Stadium.
Alabama wide receiver Jaylen Waddle pushes away Tennessee defensive back Kenney Solomon during a game between Alabama and Tennessee at Neyland Stadium.
TCU defensive end Khari Coleman tackles Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler during the first half at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Master Teague backs into the end zone on one of his two short touchdown runs against Nebraska.
Auburn wide receiver Seth Williams (18) leaps over Mississippi defensive back Jon Haynes during the first half at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
North Carolina defensive back Don Chapman (2) intercepts a pass in the end zone intended for North Carolina State tight end Dylan Parham (28) in the second quarter at Kenan Memorial Stadium.
Army running back Tyrell Robinson (21) breaks a tackle after catching a pass and runs it in for a touchdown against Mercer at Michie Stadium.
Oklahoma defensive back Brendan Radley-Hiles (44) loses his helmet while tackling TCU’s Ar’Darius Washington (24) during the first half at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Clemson wide receiver Cornell Powell dives into the end zone for a touchdown during their game against Syracuse at Memorial Stadium.
Buckeyes quarterback Justin Fields dives ahead during the first quarter against the Cornhuskers at Ohio Stadium.
Clemson safety Lannden Zanders (36) pressures Syracuse quarterback Rex Culpepper (17) during their game at Memorial Stadium.
Rutgers running back Isaih Pacheco runs the ball for a touchdown during the first quarter against Michigan State at Spartan Stadium.
Kansas State running back Deuce Vaughn (22) is tackled by a Kansas defender during the first half of a game at Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium.
Oklahoma State player Jelani Woods (89) scores a touchdown as Iowa State player Mike Rose defends in the first quarter at Boone Pickens Stadium.
Navy wide receiver Ryan Mitchell (87) lays out for a catch as Houston cornerback Damarion Williams (6) looks on during the second half at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
West Virginia wide receiver Reese Smith (15) is tackled by Texas Tech defensive back Cam White (10) in the first half at Jones AT&T Stadium.
Notre Dame quarterback Brendon Clark throws under pressure from Pittsburgh defensive lineman Rashad Weaver during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field.
Iowa defensive back Matt Hankins (8) intercepts the ball in front of Purdue wide receiver Amad Anderson Jr. (10) in the second quarter at Ross-Ade Stadium.
Tulsa linebacker Zaven Collins celebrates with tight end James Palmer after he returned an interception for a touchdown in the second half against South Florida at Raymond James Stadium.
Tulsa linebacker Zaven Collins returns an interception for a touchdown in the second half against South Florida at Raymond James Stadium.
South Florida defensive back KJ Sails breaks up a pass intended for Tulsa wide receiver Juancarlos Santana in the second half at Raymond James Stadium.
Wisconsin tight end Jake Ferguson celebrates with fullback Mason Stokke after scoring a touchdown during the fourth quarter against Illinois at Camp Randall Stadium.
Wisconsin running back Isaac Guerendo rushes with the football as Illinois defensive back Tony Adams defends during the fourth quarter at Camp Randall Stadium.
Wisconsin fullback Mason Stokke catches a touchdown during the first quarter against Illinois at Camp Randall Stadium.
Tulsa wide receiver Juancarlos Santana catches a touchdown as South Florida DB Mike Hampton defends in the first half at Raymond James Stadium.
Wisconsin tight end Jake Ferguson (84) catches a touchdown during the second quarter against Illinois at Camp Randall Stadium.
Tulsa running back Corey Taylor II runs the ball in the first half against South Florida at Raymond James Stadium.
Illinois linebacker Tarique Barnes returns a fumble for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium.
The Wisconsin Badgers gather on the field prior to their game against the Illinois Fighting Illini at Camp Randall Stadium.
41/41 SLIDES
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Texas upset? QB change for Georgia? Our bold predictions for Week 9 in college football.
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